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学科主题: 地理学::自然地理学
题名: Projection of Climate Change Scenarios in Different Temperature Zones in the Eastern Monsoon Region, China
作者: Liu, P (Liu, Pin)1; Xu, ZX (Xu, Zongxue)1; Li, XP (Li, Xiuping)2
通讯作者: Xu, ZX
关键词: CIRCULATION MODEL OUTPUT ; CHANGE IMPACTS ; RIVER-BASIN ; PRECIPITATION ; GCMS ; TOOL
刊名: WATER
发表日期: 2017
DOI: 10.3390/w9050305
卷: 9, 期:5, 页:305
收录类别: SCI
合作性质: 国内
文章类型: Article
类目[WOS]: Water Resources ; Water Resources
研究领域[WOS]: Water Resources
英文摘要: The Eastern Monsoon Region of China is sensitive to climate change because of its special location. In this study, the Automated Statistical Downscaling (ASD) tool was used to simulate and project future climate change scenarios in different temperate zones in the Eastern Monsoon Region of China. The performances of the single General Circulation Model (GCM) and the GCMs ensemble from Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) were compared, and the capability of the ASD model was evaluated. The simple mathematical averaging ensemble of GCMs is superior to the single GCM and to the other two weighted ensembles. The ASD model was capable of presenting the temporal and spatial variation of four variables (precipitation, mean air temperature, maximum and minimum air temperature) during both the calibration and validation periods. The performance of the ASD model varied among the different temperate zones. In the simulated future scenarios, the air temperature in the four zones showed an upward trend. Except for the subtropical zone, there was a tendency for increased precipitation in both the warm temperate zone and the cold temperate and middle temperate zones. Of particular interest is that, in the subtropical zone, the precipitation will decline in the future, whereas the air temperature (especially the maximum air temperature) will increase, which may put more pressure on water resource situations in this area.
语种: 英语
WOS记录号: WOS:000404558100006
Citation statistics:
内容类型: 期刊论文
URI标识: http://ir.itpcas.ac.cn/handle/131C11/8246
Appears in Collections:图书馆_期刊论文

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作者单位: 1.Beijing Normal Univ, Coll Water Sci, Beijing Key Lab Urban Hydrol Cycle & Sponge City, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China.
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China.

Recommended Citation:
Liu, P ,Xu, ZX ,Li, XP . Projection of Climate Change Scenarios in Different Temperature Zones in the Eastern Monsoon Region, China[J]. WATER,2017,9(5):305.
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