Modeling vegetation green-up dates across the Tibetan Plateau by including both seasonal and daily temperature and precipitation | |
Cao, RY (Cao, Ruyin)1; Shen, MG (Shen, Miaogen)2,3; Zhou, J (Zhou, Ji)1; Chen, J (Chen, Jin)4 | |
Source Publication | AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY |
2018-02-15 | |
Volume | 249Issue:0Pages:176-186 |
DOI | 10.1016/j.agrformet.2017.11.032 |
Abstract | Shifts in vegetation phenology induced by climate change are substantially modifying various ecosystem processes, and those changes can in turn affect weather and climate systems. Realistic modeling of spring vegetation green-up is critical to improving process-based ecosystem models of the Tibetan Plateau (TP) and for better understanding of the coupling between TP terrestrial biophysical processes and the Asian monsoon system. However, no model is available for simulating the vegetation green-up date (VGD) across the entire TP. In this study, we first assessed the ability of several existing state-of-the-art phenological models to estimate VGD across the TP. We then modified the existing models by adding environmental constraints identified by partial least squares analyses. The modified models simulated VGDs with lower estimation errors than other models (Mean absolute error: 8.2 days vs. 8.7-12.9 days; P < 0.01, t-test). Moreover, although our model captured the inter annual variations in VGD better than any previous model, the correlation coefficient between predicted and remotely sensed VGDs was still low, especially in the western TP. This study revealed the necessity of considering multiple factors in VGD models and highlighted the challenge of developing models that will better represent phenology in future ecosystem models. |
Subject Area | 生态学 |
WOS ID | WOS:000424180100015 |
Language | 英语 |
Indexed By | SCIE |
Keyword | Land-surface Phenology Recent Climate-change Spring Phenology Modis Responses Trees Forest Patterns Budburst Snowfall |
WOS Research Area | Agriculture ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
WOS Subject | Agriculture ; Forestry ; Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences |
Cooperation Status | 国内 |
ISSN | 0168-1923 |
Department | 高寒生态重点实验室 |
Publisher | ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV |
Citation statistics | |
Document Type | 期刊论文 |
Identifier | http://ir.itpcas.ac.cn/handle/131C11/8724 |
Collection | 图书馆 |
Corresponding Author | Cao, RY (Cao, Ruyin); Shen, MG (Shen, Miaogen) |
Affiliation | 1.Univ Elect Sci & Technol China, Sch Resources & Environm, 2006 Xiyuan Ave, Chengdu 611731, Sichuan, Peoples R China; 2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Alpine Ecol & Biodivers, 16 Lincui Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 3.CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, 16 Lincui Rd, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China; 4.Beijing Normal Univ, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China. |
Recommended Citation GB/T 7714 | Cao, RY ,Shen, MG ,Zhou, J ,et al. Modeling vegetation green-up dates across the Tibetan Plateau by including both seasonal and daily temperature and precipitation[J]. AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,2018,249(0):176-186. |
APA | Cao, RY ,Shen, MG ,Zhou, J ,&Chen, J .(2018).Modeling vegetation green-up dates across the Tibetan Plateau by including both seasonal and daily temperature and precipitation.AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY,249(0),176-186. |
MLA | Cao, RY ,et al."Modeling vegetation green-up dates across the Tibetan Plateau by including both seasonal and daily temperature and precipitation".AGRICULTURAL AND FOREST METEOROLOGY 249.0(2018):176-186. |
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2018265.pdf(1730KB) | 期刊论文 | 出版稿 | 开放获取 | CC BY-NC-SA | View Application Full Text |
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