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Precipitation Variations under a Changing Climate from 1961-2015 in the Source Region of the Indus River
Rizwan, M (Rizwan, Muhammad)1,2; Li, X (Li, Xin)3,4; Jamal, K (Jamal, Kashif)1,2; Chen, YY (Chen, Yingying)3,4; Chauhdary, JN (Chauhdary, Junaid Nawaz)5; Zheng, DH (Zheng, Donghai)3; Anjum, L (Anjum, Lubna)6; Ran, YH (Ran, Youhua)1; Pan, XD (Pan, Xiaoduo)1
Source PublicationWATER
2019
Volume11Issue:7Pages:1366
DOI10.3390/w11071366
Abstract

The source region of the Indus River (SRIR), which is located in the Hindukush, Karakoram and Himalayan (HKH) mountainous range and on the Third Pole (TP), is very sensitive to climate change, especially precipitation changes, because of its multifarious orography and fragile ecosystem. Climate changes in the SRIR also have important impacts on social and economic development, as well as on the ecosystems of the downstream irrigation areas in Pakistan. This paper investigates the changes in precipitation characteristics by dividing the daily precipitation rate into different classes, such as light (0-10 mm), moderate (10.1-25 mm) and heavy precipitation (>25 mm). Daily precipitation data from gauging and non-gauging stations from 1961-2015 are used. The results of the analysis of the annual precipitation and rainy day trends show significant (p < 0.05) increases and decreases, respectively, while light and heavy precipitation show significant decreasing and increasing trends, respectively. The analysis of the precipitation characteristics shows that light precipitation has the highest number of rainy days compared to moderate or heavy precipitation. The analysis of the seasonal precipitation trends shows that only 18 stations have significant increasing trends in winter precipitation, while 27 stations have significant increasing trends in summer precipitation. Both short and long droughts exhibit increasing trends, which indicates that the Indus Basin will suffer from water shortages for agriculture. The results of this study could help policymakers cope with floods and droughts and sustain eco-environmental resources in the study area.

Subject AreaWater Resources
WOS IDWOS:000480632300051
Language英语
Indexed BySCI
KeywordTrends Basin Temperature Rainfall Runoff Model Variability Scenarios Northwest Extremes
WOS Research AreaWater Resources
WOS SubjectWater Resources
Cooperation Status国际
ISSN2073-4441
Department三极观测与大数据研究中心
URL查看原文
PublisherMDPI
SubtypeArticle
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.itpcas.ac.cn/handle/131C11/9245
Collection图书馆
Corresponding AuthorChen, YY (Chen, Yingying)
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Northwest Inst Ecoenvironm & Resources, Key Lab Remote Sensing & Geospatial Sci, Lanzhou 730000, Gansu, Peoples R China;
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China;
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
4.Chinese Acad Sci, CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
5.Univ Agr Faisalabad, Water Management Res Ctr, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan;
6.Univ Agr Faisalabad, Irrigat & Drainage Dept, Faisalabad 38040, Pakistan.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Rizwan, M ,Li, X ,Jamal, K ,et al. Precipitation Variations under a Changing Climate from 1961-2015 in the Source Region of the Indus River[J]. WATER,2019,11(7):1366.
APA Rizwan, M .,Li, X .,Jamal, K .,Chen, YY .,Chauhdary, JN .,...&Pan, XD .(2019).Precipitation Variations under a Changing Climate from 1961-2015 in the Source Region of the Indus River.WATER,11(7),1366.
MLA Rizwan, M ,et al."Precipitation Variations under a Changing Climate from 1961-2015 in the Source Region of the Indus River".WATER 11.7(2019):1366.
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