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Climatic Warming Increases Spatial Synchrony in Spring Vegetation Phenology Across the Northern Hemisphere
Liu, Q (Liu, Qiang)1; Piao, SL (Piao, Shilong)1,2,3; Fu, YSH (Fu, Yongshuo H.)1,4; Gao, MD (Gao, Mengdi)1; Penuelas, J (Penuelas, Josep)5,6; Janssens, IA (Janssens, Ivan A.)4
Source PublicationGEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS
2019
Volume46Issue:3Pages:1641-1650
DOI10.1029/2018GL081370
Abstract

Climatic warming has advanced spring phenology across the Northern Hemisphere, but the spatial variability in temperature sensitivity of spring phenology is substantial. Whether spring phenology will continue to advance uniformly at latitudes has not yet been investigated. We used Bayesian model averaging and four spring phenology models, and demonstrated that the start of vegetation growing season across the Northern Hemisphere will become substantially more synchronous (up to 11.3%) under future climatic warming conditions. Larger start of growing season advances are expected at higher than lower latitudes (3.7-10.9 days earlier) due to both larger rate in spring warming at higher latitudes and larger decreases in the temperature sensitivity of start of growing season at low latitudes. The consequent impacts on the northern ecosystems due to this increased synchrony may be considerable and thus worth investigating.

Subject AreaGeosciences
WOS IDWOS:000462072800058
Language英语
Indexed BySCI
KeywordTemperature Sensitivity Carbon Uptake Budburst Model Time Performance Photoperiod Responses Shifts Onset
WOS Research AreaGeology
WOS SubjectGeosciences, Multidisciplinary
Cooperation Status国际
ISSN0094-8276
Department高寒生态与人类适应
URL查看原文
PublisherAMER GEOPHYSICAL UNION
SubtypeArticle
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Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.itpcas.ac.cn/handle/131C11/9396
Collection图书馆
Corresponding AuthorPiao, SL (Piao, Shilong)
Affiliation1.Peking Univ, Sino French Inst Earth Syst Sci, Coll Urban & Environm Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China;
2.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Alpine Ecol & Biodivers, Beijing, Peoples R China;
3.Chinese Acad Sci, Ctr Excellence Tibetan Earth Sci, Beijing, Peoples R China;
4.Univ Antwerp, Dept Biol, Antwerp, Belgium;
5.CREAF, Barcelona, Spain;
6.CSIC, Global Ecol Unit CREAF CSIC UAB, Barcelona, Spain.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Liu, Q ,Piao, SL ,Fu, YSH ,et al. Climatic Warming Increases Spatial Synchrony in Spring Vegetation Phenology Across the Northern Hemisphere[J]. GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,2019,46(3):1641-1650.
APA Liu, Q ,Piao, SL ,Fu, YSH ,Gao, MD ,Penuelas, J ,&Janssens, IA .(2019).Climatic Warming Increases Spatial Synchrony in Spring Vegetation Phenology Across the Northern Hemisphere.GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS,46(3),1641-1650.
MLA Liu, Q ,et al."Climatic Warming Increases Spatial Synchrony in Spring Vegetation Phenology Across the Northern Hemisphere".GEOPHYSICAL RESEARCH LETTERS 46.3(2019):1641-1650.
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