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Spatial analysis of precipitation time series over the Upper Indus Basin
Latif, Y (Latif, Yasir)1,2; Yaoming, M (Yaoming, Ma)1,3; Yaseen, M (Yaseen, Muhammad)4
Source PublicationTHEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY
2018
Volume131Issue:1-2Pages:761-775
DOI10.1007/s00704-016-2007-3
Abstract

The upper Indus basin (UIB) holds one of the most substantial river systems in the world, contributing roughly half of the available surface water in Pakistan. This water provides necessary support for agriculture, domestic consumption, and hydropower generation; all critical for a stable economy in Pakistan. This study has identified trends, analyzed variability, and assessed changes in both annual and seasonal precipitation during four time series, identified herein as: (first) 1961-2013, (second) 1971-2013, (third) 1981-2013, and (fourth) 1991-2013, over the UIB. This study investigated spatial characteristics of the precipitation time series over 15 weather stations and provides strong evidence of annual precipitation by determining significant trends at 6 stations (Astore, Chilas, Dir, Drosh, Gupis, and Kakul) out of the 15 studied stations, revealing a significant negative trend during the fourth time series. Our study also showed significantly increased precipitation at Bunji, Chitral, and Skardu, whereas such trends at the rest of the stations appear insignificant. Moreover, our study found that seasonal precipitation decreased at some locations (at a high level of significance), as well as periods of scarce precipitation during all four seasons. The observed decreases in precipitation appear stronger and more significant in autumn; having 10 stations exhibiting decreasing precipitation during the fourth time series, with respect to time and space. Furthermore, the observed decreases in precipitation appear robust and more significant for regions at high elevation (> 1300 m). This analysis concludes that decreasing precipitation dominated the UIB, both temporally and spatially including in the higher areas.

Subject Area地理学
WOS IDWOS:000419885200056
Language英语
Indexed BySCIE
KeywordLong-term Trends Karakoram-himalaya Climate-change Hydrological Series Water-resources Mann-kendall River-basin Glacier Runoff Impacts
WOS Research AreaMeteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
WOS SubjectMeteorology & Atmospheric Sciences
Cooperation Status国际
ISSN0177-798X
Department环境变化与地表过程重点实验室
PublisherSPRINGER WIEN
Citation statistics
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.itpcas.ac.cn/handle/131C11/8785
Collection图书馆
Corresponding AuthorLatif, Y (Latif, Yasir)
Affiliation1.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Tibetan Environm Changes & Land Surface P, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
2.Univ Chinese Acad Sci, Beijing 100049, Peoples R China;
3.Chinese Acad Sci, CAS Ctr Excellence Tibetan Plateau Earth Sci, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China;
4.Univ Punjab, Ctr Integrated Mt Res, Lahore, Pakistan.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Latif, Y ,Yaoming, M ,Yaseen, M . Spatial analysis of precipitation time series over the Upper Indus Basin[J]. THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,2018,131(1-2):761-775.
APA Latif, Y ,Yaoming, M ,&Yaseen, M .(2018).Spatial analysis of precipitation time series over the Upper Indus Basin.THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY,131(1-2),761-775.
MLA Latif, Y ,et al."Spatial analysis of precipitation time series over the Upper Indus Basin".THEORETICAL AND APPLIED CLIMATOLOGY 131.1-2(2018):761-775.
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