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Evaluation and simulation of the impact of land use change on ecosystem services based on a carbon flow model: A case study of the Manas River Basin of Xinjiang, China
Xu, ZH (Xu, Zihan)1,2; Fan, WG (Fan, Weiguo)1,2; Wei, HJ (Wei, Hejie)3; Zhang, P (Zhang, Peng)1,2; Ren, JH (Ren, Jiahui)1,2; Gao, ZC (Gao, Zhicheng)1,2; Ulgiati, S (Ulgiati, Sergio)4,5; Kong, WD (Kong, Weidong)6; Dong, XB (Dong, Xiaobin)1,2
Source PublicationSCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT
2019
Volume652Issue:0Pages:117-133
DOI10.1016/j.scitotenv.2018.10.206
Abstract

Land use change affects ecosystem services by changing the structure and function of ecosystems. Carbon flows throughout natural and socioeconomic systems can effectively reveal this process. The Manas River Basin has experienced rapid oasis expansion for decades, and land use change in the basin is very typical. Oasis expansion has caused a large amount of cropland to invade natural vegetation, thus affecting ecosystem services. This study used a biomass-based ecosystem service estimation model to assess changes in ecosystem services in the Manas River Basin. The carbon flow model was constructed using energy systems language, and the future development of ecosystem services was simulated based on different land use scenarios. The results show the following: (1) From 1980 to 2015, the river basin provisioning service was continuously optimized, while the regulating, supporting and cultural services were reduced. (2) If the expansion of cropland continues, then carbon will be transferred from the natural ecosystem to the cropland. Regulation, support and cultural services in the basin continue to decrease. Due to the shortage of water resources in the basin, the growth of provisioning services is limited. (3) If the project of returning cropland to grassland is implemented, then the carbon in the natural ecosystem will gradually recover. The regulating, supporting and cultural services of the river basin are rising, but provisioning services are gradually decreasing. In general, the model based on energy systems language can reflect the ecological process within the system and effectively reveal the carbon flow process between ecosystems. The use of carbon to quantify ecosystem services can harmonize dimensions, facilitate comparisons, and mitigate errors in outcomes due to different evaluation criteria or subjective factors. Therefore, this study combines energy systems language with carbon flow, which helps to more rationally explore the impact of land use change on ecosystem services, thereby providing valuable information for river basin management. (C) 2018 Published by Elsevier B.V.

Subject AreaEnvironmental Sciences
WOS IDWOS:000454418500012
Language英语
Indexed BySCI
KeywordSoil Organic-carbon Use/land-cover Change Climate-change Loess Plateau Use Efficiency Economic Value Trade-offs Dynamics Linking Conservation
WOS Research AreaEnvironmental Sciences & Ecology
WOS SubjectEnvironmental Sciences
Cooperation Status国际
ISSN0048-9697
Department高寒生态与人类适应
URL查看原文
PublisherELSEVIER SCIENCE BV
SubtypeArticle
Citation statistics
Cited Times:15[WOS]   [WOS Record]     [Related Records in WOS]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.itpcas.ac.cn/handle/131C11/9395
Collection图书馆
Corresponding AuthorDong, XB (Dong, Xiaobin)
Affiliation1.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, State Key Lab Earth Surface Proc & Resource Ecol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;
2.Beijing Normal Univ, Fac Geog Sci, Sch Nat Resources Sci & Technol, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;
3.Henan Agr Univ, Coll Resources & Environm Sci, Zhengzhou 450002, Henan, Peoples R China;
4.Parthenope Univ, Dept Sci & Technol, I-80133 Naples, Italy;
5.Beijing Normal Univ, Sch Environm, Beijing 100875, Peoples R China;
6.Chinese Acad Sci, Inst Tibetan Plateau Res, Key Lab Alpine Ecol & Biodivers, Beijing 100101, Peoples R China.
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Xu, ZH ,Fan, WG ,Wei, HJ ,et al. Evaluation and simulation of the impact of land use change on ecosystem services based on a carbon flow model: A case study of the Manas River Basin of Xinjiang, China[J]. SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,2019,652(0):117-133.
APA Xu, ZH .,Fan, WG .,Wei, HJ .,Zhang, P .,Ren, JH .,...&Dong, XB .(2019).Evaluation and simulation of the impact of land use change on ecosystem services based on a carbon flow model: A case study of the Manas River Basin of Xinjiang, China.SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT,652(0),117-133.
MLA Xu, ZH ,et al."Evaluation and simulation of the impact of land use change on ecosystem services based on a carbon flow model: A case study of the Manas River Basin of Xinjiang, China".SCIENCE OF THE TOTAL ENVIRONMENT 652.0(2019):117-133.
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